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Reservoir Saturation Prediction Using Multi-Property Petrophysical Parameters and Stacking Ensemble Learning

Ke Pan

Abstract


Saturation is a key parameter for reserves evaluation and development planning. In heterogeneous reservoirs, conventional interpre
tation can be unstable due to shale effects and multi-property coupling. This study uses multi-property petrophysical parametersincluding
density, porosity, true resistivity, and multi-frequency polarization attributesas inputs. Robust preprocessing (IQR-based clipping) and fea
ture standardization are applied, followed by feature construction and screening. Five base learners (SVR, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting,
XGBoost, and LightGBM) are trained and fused through stacking ensemble learning. The stacking model provides improved overall fitting
compared with individual models and simple fusion, and predictions are generally consistent with measured values. Independent testing indi
cates systematic deviations across saturation ranges, suggesting that sample distribution and limited endpoint samples affect generalization.
The proposed workflow enables rapid quantitative saturation prediction for intervals with limited core data or unstable conventional interpre
tation, supporting integrated reservoir evaluation and sweet-spot identification.

Keywords


Saturation; Multi-property petrophysical parameters; Feature engineering; Stacking ensemble; Machine learning

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References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.70711/itr.v3i3.9237

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