pisco_log
banner

The Impact of Tourism on Tertiary Sector Growth in Shiyan: An Empirical Study

Le Xue

Abstract


Tourism, a cornerstone of the tertiary sector, is increasingly central to regional economic growth and competitiveness. Shiyan City,
with its distinctive geographical advantages and rich cultural heritage, boasts substantial potential for tourism-driven development. Using
a time-series dataset for Shiyan covering 2002-2022, this study empirically examines the impacts of tourism-related indicators on the gross
domestic product (GDP) of the tertiary sector. The results show that total tourism revenue, the number of travel agencies, the number of
star-rated hotels, and urban residents' disposable income all exert significant positive effects on tertiary-sector GDP growth, with disposable
income acting as the strongest determinant. Furthermore, this study tests the equilibrium relationship between domestic tourism revenue and
tertiary-sector GDP. The findings indicate a long-run equilibrium between the two variables and a unidirectional Granger causality: tertiarysector growth significantly drives tourism development, rather than the reverse.

Keywords


Tourism; Tertiary sector; Economic growth; Multiple linear regression; Granger causality test

Full Text:

PDF

Included Database


References


[1] Chen S, Ning Y, Wang L, et al. Research on the factors influencing tourism revenue of Shandong Province in China based on uncertain

regression analysis[J]. Mathematics, 2023, 11(21): 4490.

[2] Almeida A. Tourism development and economic growth: The validity of the tourism-led growth hypothesis for madeira[J]. RPER, 2023

(65): 31-50.

[3] Kyara V C, Rahman M M, Khanam R. Tourism expansion and economic growth in Tanzania: A causality analysis[J]. Heliyon, 2021,

7(5).

[4] Zhang L, Danko Y, Wang J, et al. Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between the Development of China's Tourism Industry and

Economic Growth Based on VAR Model[J]. International Journal of Financial Research, 2021, 12(4).

[5] Soylu B. Panel granger causality analysis of relationships between tourism and economic growth in the top eight tourist

destinations[J]. Ekonomski pregled, 2020, 71(4): 407-430.

[6] Songling Y, Ishtiaq M, Thanh B T. Tourism industry and economic growth nexus in Beijing, China[J]. Economies, 2019, 7(1): 25.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.70711/frim.v4i6.9681

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.